Vista and IT
Gartner Predicts that Windows Vista the last of its kind, and goes on to predict that Microsoft will split functionalists using vitalization technologies.
Meanwhile, Other articles attack Microsoft DRM policies and Security. Those attacks attempt to base themselves on technical issues, but the economic and sociological issues are self evident.
All this leads me to believe that Microsoft has failed to understand not only Information Technologies, but Consumer Electronics and the gap that exists between them.
This is all to apparent when seeing the Apple iPhone and the Nokia N770. Slick and clear design on the outside, as expected of a consumer appliance, hackable and expandable in the inside, as expected of an IT device.
This should not come as news to anyone. At home, The attempt at zoning DVD content failed miserably. At the office, Windows Terminal Services are killing the Windows PC.
Microsoft is focused to much on making every product have the same "Windows" look. As a side effect it is also fixated on making it's products less configurable. This contradicts the very vision that got it to where it is today - the user controlled computing. An operating systems that runs on hardware from many different vendors, running software from a variety of vendors. The user can be the home hobbyist, or the corporate IT department.
This is not a prediction of the demise of Microsoft. Microsoft has many ways to reinvent itself, and the money to do it. For the time being innovation will happen elsewhere: General Purpose Computing will evolve by service providers, and design will evolve by the consumer electronic makers. Both will us Free and open-source software. Both will drop DRM, since DRM and proprietary software does not provide any benefits, for them or their clients.